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Long Run Phillips Curve
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How do rational expectations influence the Long Run Phillips Curve in the context of fiscal policy?

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Choose the Best Answer

A

They lead to a permanent trade-off between inflation and unemployment.

B

They suggest that fiscal policy can permanently lower unemployment without increasing inflation.

C

They imply that any fiscal policy effects on unemployment will be temporary as people adjust their expectations.

D

They indicate that inflation expectations will not affect real output in the long run.

Understanding the Answer

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Answer

Rational expectations refer to the idea that people make decisions based on all available information and their understanding of how the economy works. In the context of the Long Run Phillips Curve, which shows the relationship between inflation and unemployment, rational expectations suggest that if the government uses fiscal policy to increase demand and lower unemployment, people will anticipate future inflation. As a result, they may adjust their behavior, such as demanding higher wages, leading to actual inflation rather than just a temporary decrease in unemployment. For example, if the government spends more money to boost the economy, workers might expect prices to rise and ask for higher pay, which can push inflation up without significantly reducing unemployment in the long run. Thus, rational expectations can limit the effectiveness of fiscal policy in achieving lasting improvements in unemployment rates.

Detailed Explanation

Rational expectations mean people adjust their views based on new information. Other options are incorrect because Some might think there's a permanent balance between inflation and unemployment; It's a common belief that government spending can keep unemployment low forever.

Key Concepts

fiscal policy
rational expectations
Topic

Long Run Phillips Curve

Difficulty

medium level question

Cognitive Level

understand

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