📚 Learning Guide
Game Theory and Backward Induction
hard

In a competitive market, two companies, A and B, are deciding whether to launch a new product. Company A moves first and chooses between a high investment or a low investment. Company B observes A's choice and then decides on its own investment level. If A chooses high investment, B can either choose high or low investment. If A chooses low investment, B similarly has the option to choose high or low. How should Company A decide on its investment using backward induction to maximize its payoff?

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Choose the Best Answer

A

Company A should always choose low investment regardless of Company B's choice.

B

Company A should choose high investment, anticipating that Company B will choose low investment to maximize its own payoff.

C

Company A should choose high investment, expecting Company B to also choose high investment, thus ensuring a competitive edge.

D

Company A should randomly choose between high and low investment to keep Company B uncertain.

Understanding the Answer

Let's break down why this is correct

Answer

In backward induction you start with the last mover, B, and find its best response to each of A’s possible moves. If A invests high, B will choose the investment that gives B the larger payoff; if A invests low, B will again choose the higher payoff option. For example, if A’s high investment gives B a payoff of 5 when B also invests high and 3 when B invests low, B will invest high. If A’s low investment gives B a payoff of 4 when B invests high and 2 when B invests low, B will again invest high. Knowing B will always invest high, A compares the payoffs from its own high versus low investment and picks the one that yields the larger payoff, thus maximizing A’s payoff.

Detailed Explanation

Company A looks at what B will do after seeing A's choice. Other options are incorrect because Choosing low no matter what ignores B's best reply; Assuming both will invest high ignores that B wants the best payoff.

Key Concepts

Backward Induction
Game Theory
Strategic Decision Making
Topic

Game Theory and Backward Induction

Difficulty

hard level question

Cognitive Level

understand

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