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HomeHomework HelppsychometricsPredictive Validity

Predictive Validity

Predictive validity refers to the extent to which a test or assessment accurately forecasts future performance or behavior in a specific context. It is a critical component of criterion-related validity, demonstrating how well a measure can predict outcomes based on its scores.

intermediate
2 hours
Psychometrics
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Overview

Predictive validity is a crucial aspect of test assessment, focusing on how well a test can forecast future performance. It is measured through statistical methods like correlation coefficients and regression analysis, which help determine the effectiveness of various assessments in real-world appli...

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Key Terms

Validity
The degree to which a test measures what it claims to measure.

Example: A math test is valid if it accurately assesses math skills.

Correlation Coefficient
A statistical measure that describes the strength and direction of a relationship between two variables.

Example: A correlation coefficient of 0.8 indicates a strong positive relationship.

Regression Analysis
A statistical method used to determine the relationship between a dependent variable and one or more independent variables.

Example: Regression analysis can predict future sales based on advertising spend.

Assessment
A systematic evaluation of an individual's performance or knowledge.

Example: Standardized tests are common forms of assessment.

Test Score
The numerical result obtained from an assessment.

Example: A test score of 85% indicates a high level of understanding.

Predictive Model
A mathematical model used to predict future outcomes based on historical data.

Example: Predictive models are used in finance to forecast stock prices.

Related Topics

Concurrent Validity
Concurrent validity assesses how well a test correlates with a measure taken at the same time.
intermediate
Construct Validity
Construct validity evaluates whether a test truly measures the theoretical construct it claims to measure.
advanced
Reliability
Reliability refers to the consistency of a test's results over time.
intermediate

Key Concepts

test predictionvalidityassessmentoutcomes